Saputra, Andi and Arifin, Bustanul and Kasymir, Eka (2014) ANALISIS KAUSALITAS HARGA BERAS, HARGA PEMBELIAN PEMERINTAH (HPP) DAN INFLASI SERTA EFEKTIVITAS KEBIJAKAN HPP DI INDONESIA (Causality Analysis of Rice Price, the Goverment Purchase Price (HPP) and Inflation as Well as the Efectiveness of HPP Policy in Indonesia). Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Agribisnis, 2 (1). ISSN 2337 7070

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Abstract

This research aims to analyze the causal relationship between the retail price of rice (HEB) the government purchase price (HPP) and inflation in Indonesia. The data analysis used in this research is analysis of causality by using the Engel Granger causality analysis and analysis price transmission elasticity. The results showed that there was one-way causality relationship between inflation and HEB. The HEB was at α=5% and the causality relationship between inflation and HPP were one-way. Inflation affected HPP on both dry grain harvest (HGKP) and milled rice (HGKG) respectively - each at α=1%. There was one-way causal relationship between the retail price of rice and HPP. The HEB influenced HPP on both HGKP and HGKG at α=1% and α=5%. The HPP policy had not been effectively done by price transmission elasticity between HEB, HGKP and HGKG which was equal to 0.9 (Et<1). It meant that changes in the level of consumer prices that occurred was not responded by the producer price level. Keywords: causality, HEB, HPP, HGKG, HGKP

Item Type:	Article
Subjects:	S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Pertanian (FP) > Prodi Agribisnis
Depositing User:	BUSTANUL A
Date Deposited:	03 Aug 2018 07:26
Last Modified:	03 Aug 2018 07:26
URI:	http://repository.lppm.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/8485

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