Perdana, onny Chrisna and Manik, Tumiar Katarina and Warsono, Warsono ESTIMATION OF METHANE(CH4) EMISSION BASED ON PADDY HARVEST AREA IN LAMPUNG PROVINCE, INDONESIA. USR INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON FOOD SECURITY. ISSN ISBN : 978-602-0860-08-4
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Abstract
Contribution of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture sector comes from paddy cultivation system, flooded paddy field is one source of methanee emissions.Severalresearchs related to greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture (paddy field) by direct measurements have been done in plot scale. This research aimed to predict methane annual emissions from paddy field in regional scale (province) based on paddy harvest area. Method that used in this research are IPCC model to estimate the emission and time series method (ARIMA) to forecast the emission in next five years. The result of this research shows: (1) methane emissions from paddy field are predicted to decline in the next five years, the number will be 232.703 Gg (2013); 229.113 Gg (2014); 225.877 Gg (2015); 222.961 (2016) and 220.333 (2017) for methanee emissions; (2) comparing the result from other country with similar area, it can be concluded that IPCC model could be applied to estimate methane emissions in Lampung; and (3) the amount of methane annual emissions from paddy field is effected by annual cultivated area/harvested area and cultivation period. Key words:emission, methane,ARIMA, paddy field, IPCC.
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Subjects: | S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General) |
| Depositing User: | TUMIAR K Manik |
| Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2017 02:03 |
| Last Modified: | 12 Jun 2017 02:03 |
| URI: | http://repository.lppm.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/3472 |
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