Nuryaman, Aang and Pamungkas, Musa Al 'Asy'ari Fajar and Saidi, Subian (2018) Forecasting of Bandar Lampung's Population using Growth Mathematical Models. In: The 2nd International Conference on Applied Sciences Mathematics and Informatics, 9-11 Agustus 2018, Hotel Horison, Bandar Lampung, Indonesia. (Submitted)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the projection on the population of Bandar Lampung City in 2017 - 2030 through a mathematical modeling approach. Here, we use some growth mathematical models that are simple linear regression model, exponential model, logistic model and demographic transition model. The best approximation is chosen based on the smallest of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of the four models compared to the actual data. By using population data from 1995 - 2011, the results show that the model which gives the smallest MAPE is exponential model and the largest MAPE is demographic transition model.

Item Type:	Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Divisions:	Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam (FMIPA) > Prodi Matematika
Depositing User:	Mr. Aang Nuryaman
Date Deposited:	03 Nov 2018 09:16
Last Modified:	03 Nov 2018 09:16
URI:	http://repository.lppm.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/9368

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