Manik, Tumiar Katarina and Perdana, onny Chrisna and Warsono, Warsono (2018) Prediction of methane (CH4) emission based on paddy harvest area in Lampung Province, Indonesia. Climate Change, 4 (16). pp. 781-787. ISSN ISSN 2394–8558

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Major ccontribution of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture sector comes from paddy cultivation system; flooded paddy field is the source of methane emissions. Several researches related to greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture (paddy field) by direct measurements have been done in plot scale. This research aimed to predict methane annual emissions from paddy field in regional scale (province) based on paddy harvest areas. Methods that used in this research were IPCC model to estimate the emission and time series method (ARIMA) to forecast the emission in next five years. The result of this research showed: (1) methane emissions from paddy field are predicted to decline in the next five years, the number will be 232.703 Gg (2013); 229.113 Gg (2014); 225.877 Gg (2015); 222.961 (2016) and 220.333 (2017) for methane emissions; (2) comparing the result from other country with similar area, it could be concluded that IPCC model could be applied to estimate methane emissions in Lampung; and (3) the amount of methane annual emissions from paddy field was effected by annual cultivated area/harvested area and cultivation period.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Divisions: Fakultas Pertanian (FP) > Prodi Agronomi dan Hortikultura
Depositing User: TUMIAR K Manik
Date Deposited: 14 Nov 2018 02:47
Last Modified: 14 Nov 2018 02:47

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