Zakaria, Ahmad
(2015)
PEMODELAN PERIODIK DAN STOKASTIK CURAH HUJAN HARIAN
DARI WILAYAH PRINGSEWU.
Rekayasa, Jurnal Sipil dan Perencanaan, 19 (3).
pp. 153-166.
ISSN 0852-7733
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1. JR_zakaria_desember_2015_153-166_PEMODELAN PERIODIK DAN STOKASTIK CURAH HUJAN HARIAN DARI WILAYAH PRINGSEWU.pdf
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Abstract
This research are intended to study the periodic and stochastic modeling of daily rainfalls. The
study was carried out using data of daily rainfall with a length of 16 years (1991 – 2006) from
Podorejo, Fajar Esuk, and Panutan rainfall stations. The rainfall series used is assumed to be free
of trend. In this research data series were converted into series of rainfall sepektrum using FFT
(Fast Fourier Transform). Periodicity of daily rainfall data is presented using 253 periodic com-
ponent. Stochastic rainfall series of rainfall data is assumed as the difference (error) between the
rainfall data with periodic rainfall model using data length of 512 days. Based on the data series,
stochastic component were calculated using the approach of the autoregressive model. Stochastic
models presented here are by using an autoregressive model of third order.
The results of this research is the value of the correlation coefficient of the three stations. For this
study, the average correlation coefficient (R) between data and periodic model is about 0,9770,
between data and stochastic model is 0,9979, and between the data and the periodic stochastic
model is 0,99991. From these results, it can be concluded that periodic stochastic model of the
rainfall from Pringsewu area that processing model using 253 components, presented a very sig-
nificant approach.
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PEMODELAN PERIODIK DAN STOKASTIK CURAH HUJAN HARIAN
DARI WILAYAH PRINGSEWU. (deposited 30 Sep 2016 01:24)
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