Lies Maria Hamzah, Hamzah LM (2021) EXPORT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND EXCHANGE RATE: A DYNAMIC PANEL ANALYSIS. Science International Lahore, ,33(1) (1). 35 -38. ISSN 1013-5316


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ABSTRACT: This study aims to analyze the relationship between net export value, national income (GDP), and the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar. The existence of a causal relationship between exports and economic growth indicates a relationship between net exports and future economic growth. The study uses panel data on 38 trading partner countries of Indonesia during the 2015 - 2018 period. This study will use the dynamic panel method, where a variable is not only determined by the variables at the same time, but also by the previous time. This method is characterized by the lag of the dependent variable which correlates with the residuals among the independent variables. The dynamic panel data regression method is not only to determine short-term effects, but also long-term effects. Based on the estimation results of the ArellanoBond Generalized Method of Moment (GMM), during the research period GDP had a significant positive effect on net exports, the exchange rate had a significant negative effect on net exports. Furthermore, the results of the short-term and long-term elasticity approaches, the short-term elasticity for GDP was 0.465 and long-term elasticity was 0.426. The short-term elasticity of the exchange rate was -24,940 and the long-term elasticity was -22,865. Exports had a positive effect on economic growth, and there was a feedback between the complexity of exports and economic growth.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis (FEB) > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: LIES MARIA
Date Deposited: 09 Jun 2021 08:23
Last Modified: 09 Jun 2021 08:23

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