Hartuty, Gustini and Wardani, Dyah Wulan and Wulandari, Christine and Bakri, Samsul (2019) PERAN HUTAN MANGROVE DALAM EKOSISTEM PERAIRAN TERESTRIS SEBAGAI PENGENDALI PENYAKIT DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DI BAWAH SKENARIO PEMANASAN GLOBAL. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Hari Air Dunia 2019. (In Press)

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Abstract

Mangrove forest are one of water terrestric ecosystem which is very important in human ecological system, mainly at disease contagious by vector. Recently water terrestrial ecosystem had decreased as consequence for economic needs. It’s been worried that it can caused many disease including dengue fever, this pessimism is increased related to the global warming that happens recently. This research’s goal is to find out the role of mangrove forest in water terrestric ecosystem as DHF controllers in the scenario of global warming. This research was held in Lampung Province, Inventary Laboratorium and forest mapping of the Agriculture Faculty , Lampung University on January - February 2019. Analysis is using double linear regression model. The variable Response (Y) is IR dengue fever per district /city, and the independent variables are changing land terrestric water ecosystems (water bodies, rice fields, ponds and mangroves), primary forest, secondary forest, thickets, housing, opened land, dry with bushes land, healthy houses, population density and climate change (temperature and rainfall). Land changing data w a s t ak e n from satellite images o f t h e r e co rd in 2009, 2012 and 2015, DHF incidence data and the proportion of healthy houses proportion wich the acquisition was done by Health Departement, population density data that was from BPS Lampung Province acquisition, and temperature and rainfall data were acquired from BMKG Lampung Province. Optimization of model parameters using the accuracy level of 1 - 5%. Conclusion: mangroves forrest can pressed down dengue fever incidents for real, global warming can be prevented by reforestation of mangrove forests as 0.54 - 0.66% per district.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: S Agriculture > SD Forestry
Divisions: Fakultas Pertanian (FP) > Prodi Magister Ilmu Lingkungan
Depositing User: Doctor Samsul Bakri
Date Deposited: 08 May 2019 07:26
Last Modified: 08 May 2019 07:26
URI: http://repository.lppm.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/11817

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